Monday, August 18, 2025

Logistics and Supply Chain Management

Authored by me as Chapter 14 for the book titled Core Concerns in Indian Defence And The Imperatives for Reforms, edited by Mr. Vinod Misra and published by Pentagon Press for Institute of Defence Studies & Analysis New Delhi.
BACKGROUND
1.                  Military Logistics’ covers a far wider scope of functions as compared to the term’s interpretation in the civil world. At the outset, it is essential to understand this fact to be able to carry out a purposeful analysis for suggesting reforms. It is important to know that logistics in civil usually implies actions pertaining and limited to supply chain management, unlike a whole array of functions in the military. The scope of logistics in the military includes design, development, acquisition, maintenance, modification, upgrade, storage distribution and disposal. Most military leadership may hesitate to agree that everything outside actual operations, Op plans (strategy & tactics) and Op training is a part of logistical functions.
“I am tempted to make a slightly exaggerated statement that logistics is all of war-making except shooting guns, releasing bombs and firing the torpedoes.”
-       Adm Lynde D. McCormick,  US Navy
2.                  It is therefore apt that logistics and supply chain management, which is sometimes an afterthought in military strategies and acquisitions, has been included as a separate chapter within this treatise. In consonance with Adm McCormick, I would go further to say that logistics and supply chain issues are at the core of a combat force; without these no analysis can ever be comprehensive.
3.                   One common factor among all proposed reforms is that the suggestions are based predominantly on either of the two aspects, viz. technological solutions or org structural changes. The human aspect usually gets buried under the pile of bureaucratic procedures and more rules defined as a part of reforms. Consequently, the big picture conceived by the committee for reforms gets diffused before moving on to implementation stage.
“We cannot solve our problems by the same level of thinking that created them.”
-       Albert Einstein
4.                  The fact that many a reform has failed to produce the intended outcome need not deter us from continuing the endeavour.  However, treading the beaten track is sure to disappoint. Instead of following a strictly formal approach of listing out inconsistencies, a different approach has therefore been attempted here. The following popular methods have to be avoided.
   (a)    The obsession of subdividing a system in an attempt to optimise parts with a belief that the system shall consequently improve.
   (b)   Going through the same process over and over again hoping to find  a different (expected) answer this time.
THINK SYSTEMIC
5.                  The theme of this book is systemic. An attempt at systemic threading through various elements at higher levels including planning, budgeting, acquisition, R&D and industry is therefore a must. Systemic thinking and systems approach bring to mind two of the most valuable works, ‘Fifth Discipline’ by Peter Senge1 and ‘Theory of Constraints’ by E.U. Goldratt 2. I will base most of my thoughts on these two concepts. It will be useful to remember the following precepts.
(a)                Don’t optimize parts, implement global measures.
(b)               Areas of maximum leverage are often obscure - identification is important.
(c)                Org Structure determines behaviour - Field level constraints often point to causes at policy level.
(d)               Cause and Effect are often not related in time and space.
(e)                There is no blamepeople are good, our assumptions are bad
6.                  The reader may need a little introduction to Theory of Constraints. Elliyahu M. Goldratt developed the ‘Theory of Constraints (TOC) as a management and improvement philosophy. His books including The Goal 3, The Goal II- It’s Not Luck 4 have illustrated the philosophy in an interesting story like style. The simplicity of approach in problem solving is the defining feature of TOC.
7.                  At the root of the TOC thinking process lies a conflict resolution approach called Evaporating Cloud (of conflict). The systemic cloud is drawn as shown in Fig 1 to represent real life situations and solving conflict surrounding a given problem. The prerequisite is an objective (block A), which is a positive systemic objective. B and C are needs; both are positive and supportive of the objective. The actions and wants at D and D' individually supporting the needs at B and C respectively are, however, conflicting with each other and cannot exist together. Also that D jeopardises the need at C while D' jeopardises the need at B; this is what makes the conflict really tight. The TOC paradigm that people are all good; only our assumptions are bad - brings out the power of conflict resolution. The assumptions are verbalized for each of the links AB, BD, AC, CD’, D’B and DC as shown below:-
·  In order to have A, we must have the requirement B because <reason 1>
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In order to have A, we must have the requirement B because <reason m>
·  And similar verbalisation for links AC, BD, and CD’.
Then
·  If action D is carried out then we cannot get  C because   <reason 1>
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If action D is carried out then we cannot get  C because     <reason r>     
·  And similar verbalisation for the link D’B.
8.                  Lieutenant’s Cloud.     We will use the evaporating clouds method to visualise conflicts in various situations. Detailed verbalisation to validate or invalidate assumptions will however be left out of this work. Kelvyn Youngman 5 has called the conflict shown here in Fig 2 as 'The Lieutenant's Cloud'. Here the lieutenant wishes to perform a task but is stopped by a rule which prohibits him. At
D is a rule that we have, but, we don't want. And at D' is an action that we cannot, but do wish to take. It is quite amazing then that there is something negative in D, but we carry on suffering from it because that also satisfies a positive need (or so we feel) towards the achievement of the Goal. At the same time it is intriguing that knowing well about the good outcome of a positive change or action in D', we continue to be paralysed and fail to change. The result is a status quo because of our fear that if we take action at D' (and change) then it will jeopardize the need at B and the Goal. It is here that verbalization of our assumptions question and validate beliefs. In some cases where an argument is only vaguely perceived can be clearly understood and strengthened through this process.
“Systemic thinking is a difficult task in the bureaucratic environment where there is a strong drive to hold on to turf and protect domains.”
                                                                                            -       Jeremy Rifkin
WHAT’S MILITARY LOGISTICS: WHOSE JOB IS IT?
10.              We had acknowledged a far wider scope of military logistics compared to its civil counterpart. Besides design, development, acquisition, maintenance, modification, upgrade, storage distribution and disposal of material, in fact, logistics in the context of military also includes functions related to infrastructure, healthcare and personnel. No wonder the realisation that besides war fighting strategy and tactics, every other function could be  termed as logistics gives an uncomfortable feeling to some - so aptly expressed as follows:-
“In peace, Generals stride confidently and can invade a world simply by sweeping their hands grandly over a map. In war they must stride more slowly .... Generals fear logisticians in war, Generals try to forget logisticians in peace.”
-       Anonymous
11.              Logistics holistically connecting with operations can be represented as shown in Fig 3. At this
stage let us take a look at the genesis of the logistics functions and cadres that perform these. Army, Navy and Air Force inherited different legacies at independence and have thence continued to evolve somewhat differently in spite of a common Indian military character. However, all the  three services have the roots of what is today called logistics, in the ordnance/ supply/ stores/ equipment cadres somewhat owning similar functional responsibilities.
12.              Ordnance in the Army was reorganised in the early 20th century into three separate departments viz. factories, stores and inspection, all under the Director General of Ordnance. In due course, through the war and later in independent India, the manufacture of stores and munitions by Ordnance Factories moved under civilian control and the QA (beginning as inspection) raised an Army of its own with a huge department, leaving primarily the stores function alone under the control of Army Ordnance Corps. Talk of logistics today and the first mention is about Ordnance Corps, although these functions are squarely placed on Director General OP Logistics (DG OL), Adjutant General (AG), Quarter Master General (QMG) and Master General Ordnance (MGO). Incidentally, the tri-service tasks performed by Director General Armed Forces Medical Services (DGAFMS) and  Engineer-in-Chief  (E in C) for healthcare and civil works respectively are also logistics functions. Eventually the responsibility of logistics as a comprehensive military function is undertaken together by many while the Ordnance man is seen as the logistician of the Army.
13.              Indian Navy had its Directorate of Stores formed out of Directorate of Supplies shortly after independence. This was renamed as Directorate of Logistics Support in early seventies. The Supply & Secretariat branch was first merged with the Executive branch before a specialist Logistics cadre was created in the Executive branch in 1989. The logistics function for stores (victualing, clothing, etc.), personnel administration and material management are performed under different heads at the top management. However, the working level base is provided  by the logistics branch officers who specialise besides personnel administration, primarily in stores and supply.
14.               Among Indian Armed Forces, the Air Force is arguably credited with having the most well integrated logistics system. Right at the birth of the Air Force, one of the first six officers commissioned was in the Equipment branch, albeit by chance because he could not qualify as a pilot for reasons of shorter leg length. Keeping abreast with global trends in the seventies, the branch was renamed ‘Logistics’,  notwithstanding the fact that its functional purview remained the same. With technological sophistication and the growth of the Air Force, ever so gradually, the logistics responsibility has increasingly been undertaken by the engineers while pilots focus on sophisticated flying/ operational functions.
15.              The field logistics can be attended to only by those close to the fleet – the combat men. There has, however, been a distinction between pilots and all other combat men in terms of the training requirements for individual skills. Towards development and maintenance of individual skill, till the levels of commanding a squadron, the pilot has to devote huge time and effort, which are unmatched by any other combatant. Therefore, a pilot-engineer arrangement has evolved best described by “engineer getting on the cockpit ladder as the pilot comes off it”. The buddy engineer takes on all responsibilities ranging from transportation of squadron men/ material and general upkeep of aircraft & systems, to the highest levels of maintenance. Therefore, corresponding to the operations men from the Army and Navy, here is a duo in the Air Force that together attends to the field logistics and logistical planning while a specific entity looks after the storage and supply support needs.
The Global View
16.              Semantics do play an important role. Logistics as the title name for a set of people without adequate authority, ownership and consequent responsibility for comprehensive logistic management can get confusing. This can lead to inappropriate commitments within and inter services matters. In international cooperation and joint exercises, we have had experiences where logistics exchange programmes represented from our side by supply/stores personnel have been found to be woefully inadequate to deal with the holistic fleet support issues including life cycle maintenance.
17.              How does the world understand the terms ‘logistics’ and ‘logisticians’? It may be  good to maintain that we go by our original thinking and not get tempted to copy models. However, more damaging it is when we end up adopting parts without understanding the whole concept. Let us see the top level of understanding of the terms logistics, logisticians and globally held expectations.
18.              UK    The available, open literature indicates that UK had a Defence Logistics Organisation,  which maintained and upgraded military equipment and coordinated its storage and distribution. UK MoD also had an executive agency named Defence Procurement Agency, which was responsible for acquisition of material, equipment and services for British armed forces. Both these merged together in 2007 to form a new organisation called Defence Equipment and Support, whose chief is called Chief of Defence Material (CDM). Under the purview of CDM, the three chiefs of material for services (Fleet, Land and Air) function besides other branches for resources. Three main points emerge:-
(a)                The interpretation of logistics is comprehensive, ranging from maintenance and upgrade extending to storage and distribution.
(b)               Acquisition and maintenance/ logistics go hand in hand.
(c)                Integration at the highest level is vital.
19.              USA    The US Department of Defense has three Departments, one each for Army, Navy and Air Force. Among many agencies under the Department of Defense, one is Defense Logistics Agency, which provides supplies to military services. Each of the three departments (Army, Navy and Air Force) for itself has a Command for logistics. While the Navy has it called ‘Naval Supply Systems Command’ Army and Air Force have these named as Material Commands. A look at one of these would be of interest here. The Air Force Material Command was created in 1992 by reintegrating the two earlier split up Commands, Air Force Logistics Command and Air Force Systems Command. The Systems Command component provided for engineering and research labs, flight test & evaluation centres, and acquisition management for all Air Force requirements. The Logistics Command component was for maintenance/ overhaul, upgrades, repairs, storage, supply chain and disposal (including scientific research before retirement). The Systems Command’s functions of ‘Research & Development and Acquisitions’ were thus integrated with the ‘Logistics’ functions to provide ‘cradle to grave’ oversight to all aircraft and systems.  The highlights of the organisation structure are:-
(a)                Their structures provide for integrated function of logistics.
(b)               The term Logistics is neither interpreted nor semantically tagged with the elements dealing with only storage/ supply/ distribution – it means holistic support.
(c)                The structures are well integrated at the highest levels of the organisation also.
The Services’ Common Precept
20.              In comparison to the global affairs and understanding, we may now appreciate the muddle that our services are in. Some of the following problems are of concern:-
(a)                The semantic confusion created by adoption of the name logistics for a smaller part function (as in Navy and Air Force).
(b)               Vertical isolation among different elements contributing towards comprehensive logistics.
(c)                Structural inefficacy caused by inadequate authority with the elements ultimately responsible for the fleet upkeep.
(d)               Non-integration of the function at the higher levels within forces as well as at joint services levels.
LIFE CYCLE MANAGEMENT
21.              A weapon system or sub-system life cycle goes through the phases viz. acquisition, induction, usage, expansion, major repairs/ overhauls, modifications, upgrades/ re-fits, obsolescence, removal from service and disposal. I have included expansion here as this is the most common happening in our defence services. Contrary to original plans, with changing scenarios we have found merits in expanding in-use fleets of weapon systems/ platforms to replace life expired/ retiring inventories. Steadily rising number of SU-30 MKI after the initial acquisition is a pertinent example.
22.              Now, what exactly is Life Cycle Management? Life Cycle Management, in logistics parlance, is usually seen from the point of view of the supplier, to deal with issues ranging from market needs through manufacture, sales, to supply chain collaboration and contract management. However, Life Cycle management from the users’ perspective in military is entirely different and challenging. Compared to any civil organisation, defence forces have huge inventories in much wider variety to be managed over far greater life cycles of the order of up to 40 years or so. Then, would independent actions concerned with managing material, technology, infrastructure, storage, distribution, personnel, training, etc. in all phases of life of a weapon system be called life cycle management? Partly yes, and holistically no! We would then deal with parts only without looking at the system as a whole – and may I remind the reader not to attempt optimisation of parts as a solution. This is what exactly we have been doing, dealing with parts as they came, because we have not made efforts to develop a Life Cycle Management Tool despite immense software potential within the country, defence services own skills, and DRDO running several labs engaged primarily in simulation software work.
23.              The Services have recently come up with the concept of Life Cycle Costing for comparative evaluation of  weapon systems before acquisition. Yet, none has a life cycle fleet management tool to play around with the outcome as one or more of the hundreds of parameters change. As we go along the usage of a newly acquired system, we won’t even know whether the system follows the trends which qualified it for acquisition. More worthy would be the benefits to planning as we ride on the life cycle progression curve and tweak the governing variables to optimise.  The life cycle management software would be a visualisation tool that would connect different phases of transition of material or weapon systems right from acquisition to disposal thus providing  a framework for logistics planning while enabling refinements in estimations for forecasting in future.
24.              A good Life Cycle Management Tool will connect various determining factors through all phases. An example would help in appreciation. An aircraft fleet gets inducted and we wish to establish indigenous overhaul facilities for aero engines. The Manufacturer’s prescribed  TTL (Total Technical Life) is 2000 hrs and the TBO (Time Between Overhauls) is 1000 hrs. It would mean that for every 2000 hrs of aero engines usage, we would need to carry out one overhaul. The total aero engine usage will depend on the fleet size and the average utilisation rate per aircraft. The estimated requirement of infrastructure would be accordingly based on these calculations. Now, as is common, after confidence generation and relevant tests, the manufacturer may increase the TTL. As an example, consider a TTL raise to 3000 hrs while keeping the TBO fixed at 1000 hrs. The arising will increase by a ratio of 2/3000:1/2000, i.e. 1.33 times. This would mean that a facility established for 50 would need to stretch to accept 66 aero engines. If, over a period, the fleet size is increased to 3 times the original plan, we can see that  the rise will be of the order of 1.33 x 3 = 3.99, i.e. 200 aero engines instead of 50.
25.              Aero engines and major sub systems themselves have a large number of parts. Aircraft and weapon systems like ships, submarines and tanks have parts and variables that cannot be even counted easily leave alone kept track of for interdependence without a management tool. The effect of management decisions based on even a few variables, which depended on just one assumption could go widely wrong with a small change in that assumption. The effect could be turbulent and realised late enough to take a call in absence of a Life Cycle Management Tool.
26.              The Life Cycle Management Tool will effectively connect with life cycle costing besides just being an evaluation tool for use during acquisition phase. Not only for material, the tool would relate to manpower planning and training also. This can help in evaluation of the sustainment cost advantage in view of commonalities or with intended reduction in variety. Life Cycle Management Tool can also be configured to deal with a group of systems or a system of systems – it would then be delightful for the top management and finance to visualise deeper insights as they consider a few services together to derive advantages of commonality.
27.              The Life Cycle Management Tool threads through the whole logistics arena. The development of life cycle management software is therefore a must today to envisage needs ranging from budgeting, manpower and infrastructure planning, costing, sustainment, to life extensions and replacements. All services are on their way to develop ERPs (Enterprise Resource Planning) not only to include the processes relating to demand/ supply/ disposal transactions, but also their state transition during field usage/ maintenance, repair, overhauls and upgrades. The icing on the cake will however be when the Life Cycle Management Tools integrated with material management ERPs will provide for holistic logistics planning.
28.              Access to a Life Cycle Management Tool would be a delight to one and all; operations, administrative and acquisition wings, finance (both at MoD and Service HQs), and eventually for the logistics management and maintenance.
THE ACQUISITION, MAINTENANCE AND DISPOSAL LOOP
29.              The life of material flows from the requirements conception stage leading to acquisitions into maintenance and upkeep in service leading back to conceptualising replacements alongside disposal of obsolete material. Logistics is all about working through the life cycles of material (and also men). In short, the chain of activities effectively executed to link acquisition, maintenance (including supply chain) and disposal means good logistics.
30.              Acquisition logistics would include an  assessment of all activities through the life cycle beginning with envisaging the size (numbers) of acquisition and estimation of cost. The determining factors are listed below.
·         Assessment of possible indigenous content.
·         Maintenance support plans, including establishment of indigenous facilities (in-house as well as with industry).
·         Operational support needs and field maintenance requirements (infrastructural and material).
·         Time schedules for arising needs for various maintenance requirements.
·         Spares requirement depending upon all the above.
·         Storage, handling and distribution requirements for main equipment/ systems/ sub-systems/ as well as spares.
·         Requirement of personnel and training.
·         Technical publications.
·         Commonality of parts, support equipment, skills, and sources of supply with other systems and also user services; existent and planned in future.
31.              This flow of life of material is often restrained because of the absence of a firm handshake between the acquisition and maintenance. Even within the maintenance phase, the inappropriately perceived purchase specialisation tends to further separate the two parts. The predicament can be viewed by the following two expressions:-
    Acquisition   à  Maintenance: “We buy, you maintain”
    Maintenance ß Supply:           “Tell us the specs and we shall buy what you need”
32.              Each one of the above three parts intends to do good (people are all good), but, they end up optimising their own parts as maintenance and upkeep gets squeezed from the two sides. The first of the possible reforms could be to consider merging the three functions together as is the case within US Defense services Material Commands – ‘structure determines behaviour’.
33.              Fig 4 shows the conflict between the responsibilities and authority of Purchase Manager and Maintenance Manager as presented in 'Deming and Goldratt´ by Lepore  and  Cohen 6.  The Maintenance Manager is measured by the 'uptime' of his production infrastructure. But, he does not have the authority to buy requisite spares. The spares are purchased by the Purchase Manager, who is measured by the least expenditure on purchases. Accordingly, he follows laid down rules for purchase of cheapest available spares.
34.              The dependencies and assumptions are verbalised as given below:-
AB.  In order to have the company to be profitable (A) we need control on the purchase process (B), because increased purchase costs would reduce profits.
BD.  In order to have control on purchase process (B) we have to authorize only Purchase Manager to buy (D), because only he can strike the best deal following laid down norms.
BD'.   If maintenance Manager buys spares (D'), accountability would be lost and we cannot (jeopardy) exercise control over purchase process (B).
BD'.   If maintenance Manager buys spares (D'), he would wish to buy costly spares for his perceived reasons of reliability of spares and the control would be lost (jeopardy) on purchase process (B).
AC.  In order to have the company to be profitable (A) we need to have good quality spares (C) because good spares will give us high uptime and consequently higher production and profits.
CD'.  In order to have good quality spares (C) maintenance Manager must buy spares (D') because only he can assess the quality.
CD. If Purchase Manager buys spares (D), we cannot (jeopardy) be assured of quality (C), because he would go for least price.

35.              The assumptions can now be examined.
·         Is it true that only purchase manager can strike the best deal?
·         If Maintenance manager advises Purchase manager for spares (instead of himself buying), will the control on Purchase Process still be lost?
·         If the Maintenance Manager buys spares which are not the cheapest, will it really end up in costs going up such as to bring profits down?
36.              The first two questions throw up a solution that if Maintenance manager advises on spares purchase, purchase process can be controlled by the Purchase Manager. And also that good quality spares can be purchased with the intervention of the Maintenance Manager. However, even if the Maintenance Manager advises Purchase Manager for spares, the accountability of both remains substantially diluted, as the responsibility gets divided. The answer to this negativity can be provided by breaking the logical separation between D and D'. Now, the question (iii) also needs to be answered about profit really reducing if Maintenance Manager advises spares which are not the cheapest. The answer therefore lies in throughput accounting for the system rather than local optimization for individual performances measures. In this case especially it turns up as given below.
·         Good quality spares may increase cost of spares.
·         But, good quality spares will enhance uptime and reduce breakdowns.
·         Good quality spares will need fewer replacements.
·         Enhanced uptime will increase throughput of the system.
·          With increased throughput (T), enhancement of profits can be ensured even if the operating cost (OE) goes up marginally (Profit = T – OE).
37.              The change shown in Fig 5 enables Maintenance Manager extend advice for spares purchase. But, he is now responsible for the throughput, which is systemic rather than uptime of machines. And in the purchase process, instead of only purchase cost being of concern, operating expense which again is a systemic parameter now becomes the measure. So, the Maintenance Manager while advising for spares can be made responsible for both, maintaining high throughput as well as controlling operating expense. The Purchase Manager moves conveniently out of the conflict.
38.              There are several other areas for improvement besides just procurements. These are issues related to mindset. Oversight or deliberate compromises due to budget or time constraints during acquisitions are often blamed for maintenance nightmares later on. Procedural compulsions weigh so heavily on the staff at Service HQs that conclusion of contracts itself is considered a great
achievement (in a struggle with the bureaucracy)  in contrast with the fulfilment of holistic needs for maintenance support.
39.              The above example has shown inappropriateness of measure of performance as ‘Down time’ and ’Least expenditure’  for Maintenance and Purchase functions respectively. These measures were required to be changed to ‘throughput’ and ‘operating expense’. Similarly, all elements involved in acquisition, as in all other activities, have to be measured in global units. The procurement rules are backed by great wisdom and all sincerity to
provide a framework to bring transparency and avoid arbitrariness. However, one part cannot only look at procedures alone while the other focuses on operational requirements. We have to remind ourselves that the obsession with rules on one part of the group restrains the other from logical interpretation in favour of task execution (refer Lieutenant’s Cloud). The clouds shown in Fig 6 and Fig 7 will serve as food for thought.

40.        The outcome of maintenance philosophies depends on vital parameters like war reserves, scales of holding spares for units/ depots and repair tasks on DPSUs or depots. MTBFs are not held, repair yields vary, ageing fleets need unprecedented spares and maintenance! These situations need dynamic actions, but we get bogged down by the procedures. Theoretically, we have mechanisms to periodically review once in three years or every year, etc. But the only 10% parts which severely affect are not reviewed separately – we follow procedures!
41.              A word about disposal is extremely important. Every service suffers from enormous delays in approvals for obsolete inventories to be disposed off purely on account of procedural requirements. There are too many agencies involved, none really worth adding much value while entitled to ask questions and taking its own sweet time without accountability for delays. The cost of carrying obsolete inventories is exorbitant although not ever estimated well because of lack of a life cycle management tool. The procedures for disposals need a comprehensive review to lay down timeframes for approval within six months so that obsolete inventories can be disposed off within a period of about two years. Does the two years period seem long? Today, it takes indefinite amount of time - 10 to 15 years is usual.
PROVISIONING AND PROCUREMENT
42.              Provisioning is the lead in activity before procurement of material to keep the inventory levels up to what is called the stockage objective. Provisioning and forecasting are activities, which are considered most challenging and therefore of great interest to all logisticians. There are two distinct elements involved here – one of forecasting the needs for a specific period, and the other of procurements of necessary quantities of material to last that period of forecast.
43.              Forecast requirements bring back memories of grandmother days. Once a year, she got the food grains purchased. These were procured at the best prices in season, then cleaned, processed and stored at home under large storage created for the purpose. During the year, the availability usually fluctuated heavily with the corresponding variations in prices as well as the quality of grains. Not so affluent homes had smaller storage to last only for a few months, which also took care of smaller ups and downs in availability in local market. However, the poor had to contend with their purchases every day or even for every meal. The poor had to take a bigger brunt of the non-availabilities and corresponding steep price shoot up – but, they had no choice. Unaffected by the market uncertainties, an affluent grandma stored enough to see through the year and a little more. Today, better storage facilities and changed doctrines have smoothened market variations. Long term storage philosophy in every household has therefore been rendered old fashioned.
44.              However, storage of spare parts for a long forecast military requirement does not seem to go out of fashion at all. A few norms associated with the military have resulted in rules that bind the Lieutenant (ref TOC example). We have for long believed that we needed to write unique specs for our needs (military is different from the civil world!). Most proven COTS products needed alterations for us - we did however instantly lose the COTS advantage of cost, lead time, wide support, life cycle upgrades etc. Even more damaging has been the blind acceptance of archaic rules of provisioning and forecasting, called myths by my former colleague Wg Cdr Kaushik Das 7. Some of the norms followed for determining the forecast requirements could only be termed as ludicrous. It is time for a big shake up to question the following norms:-
·         To forecast and provision for a period of the order of 3 to 5 years.
·         Long processing delays before placement of orders and even longer supply lead time.
·         Supply lead time of the order of 18 months and above even for PSUs.
·         PSUs do not forecast by themselves - Time starts for them only after Service HQ orders.
·         The agreed timeframes are routinely exceeded by big margins.
45.              When we face some of these questions squarely, we begin to wonder WHY! Why is it that we need a change and we can’t make it? Why is it that respective PSUs cannot be made to partner in the provisioning process so that they have a fair idea of our requirements well before orders placement? Most weapon systems, even from foreign sources, are supported by someone known as OEM (Original Equipment Manufacturer). If not, then why don’t we identify the single supply agency with the help of the country’s government? Why do we hesitate partnering with even the foreign supplier despite knowing well that we are wedded for as many as 25 to 40 years? Yes, we are obsessed with rules and in absence of a life cycle management tool, we have no way of assessing the damage. We are unable to get an appreciation of cost comparison (cost of delays) making justification with finance very vary cumbersome. The cost world remains dominant over the throughput world in absence of a measure for war potential. The procurement cloud shown in Fig 8 indicates the conflict.
46.              As we verbalise assumptions, a few facts emerge clearly.
·         In order to have effective fleet sustainment we need to control purchase cost because reduced cost means potential retained for sustainment.
·         But, the questions to ask are:-
§  If inadequate spares were purchased, or purchases delayed in search of lowest cost, what are the operational losses?
§  Is purchase cost a global measure?
§  Can we look for a global measure like maintaining low life cycle maintenance cost?
§  Can we further modify the need (at ’B’) as ‘low life cycle maintenance cost per available system’?
47.              With those questions for validation, we can now modify the block B to carry the need as “Low life cycle cost per available aircraft or weapon system” – and surely a lot of intelligence begins to filter in. Now, least cost spares in individual deals are not good enough if the deals make us wait indefinitely or the fill rates remain less than 100%. The modified cloud can then be drawn as shown in Fig 9.
48.              A partnership model with OEMs for win-win solutions to logistics support issues is the only answer. However, as explained earlier in introduction to TOC, a perpetual and undue fear that the situation will get worse (cost will shoot up) if we share information with the supplier keeps us paralyzed in the present.
49.              The procurements are also affected by the following two distinct factors:-
(a)                The most common factor is the involvement of too many agencies, which incidentally has been a master bureaucratic stroke that ensures non-accountability of any one. A number of agencies like user, indenter, purchaser, technical evaluator, cost accounting specialist, Deputy CFA, financial advisor and the CFA make a long list. It is therefore essential that the list be kept down to a maximum of three besides the CFA.
(b)               The second vital factor is the distance of the purchaser from fleet appreciation and knowledge. The purchaser, carrying out a support activity, should not begin to dominate with the rule book. The dynamics of maintenance and usage (operation) determining the requirements over a long life cycle are often overlooked by those who don’t see beyond procedures and part numbers. The result has been the use of statistics of fill rates etc. as measures of satisfaction while critical spares remain unsupplied year after year.
OUTSOURCING AND PERFORMANCE BASED LOGISTICS
50.              A call for outsourcing various functional responsibilities within the defence services, alongside defence PSUs and Ordnance Factories, has got intensified in the last one decade. It picked up momentum especially after the Kelkar committee recommendations on the subject of strengthening ‘Self Reliance in Defence Preparedness’. It is however no surprise that, in USA the Performance Based Logistics (PBL) had been mandated a few years before that as a follow up on the outsourcing, which had found favour with most companies besides the government. Before we go long into this section, I must clarify that the intention of putting up the two terms, outsourcing and PBL together in the title is not because these are synonyms. In fact PBL is not outsourcing of logistics functions. Both relate closely to effectiveness of logistics support and are also commonly misunderstood. We will discuss these one by one keeping in mind the associated myths like ‘no need for tech acumen’ when outsourcing and ‘no work requirement by customers’ in PBL.
51.              The concept of outsourcing the maintenance, repair & overhaul (MRO) activities globally gained popularity with the booming of civil aviation industry. However, in absence of a well grouped civil aviation industry, the well organised MoD framework has attracted industry attention for potential business development in defence.
52.              Outsourcing as an option has been considered favourably by business houses from the developed countries more for the reasons of off-shoring to take advantage of the cheaper labour available in countries like China, India and Sri Lanka. Outsourcing within the country is however not favourable for that reason. Yet, a few organisations have jumped in to join the outsourcing as a fad without looking into the advantages and disadvantages. Outsourcing, if not directly advantageous in terms of cost, would be preferable for giving away non-core activities or work that is of high and narrow specialisation for which infrastructure and manpower expenditure and effort would be better avoided.
53.              Outsourcing by the government is usually recommended with the intention of cutting bureaucracy and bringing in agility in functioning. Defence forces, although a part of the government, are not typically the offices of the government. Routine outsourcing is therefore not appropriate, except for a few administrative support functions. The downside of outsourcing has to be kept in mind, viz. loss of in-house expertise, inability to meet the unprecedented and unforeseen wartime surge requirements, and a significant loss of control. At the same time, it is important to note that shifting work from military depots to public sector units cannot be considered as outsourcing. In recent years, we have seen a spate of outsourcing most of the maintenance activities to DPSUs. Compared to in-house depots, these have never been cost effective while adding an unnecessary layer of bureaucracy to make logistical responses excessively sluggish.
54.              Notwithstanding all the above, outsourcing should be undertaken in a fair measure as the services doing everything in-house will never bring worthy  return on investment even from the point
of effort on manpower and infrastructure. It is however not recommended to engage PSUs, who need to be left alone and held accountable for design, development and indigenous manufacture. Besides private sector bringing the much needed agility in response, it will also  help in spreading the industrialisation base for defence systems and hardware. A classical conflict remains with us - we find private companies not yet well entrenched in defence production and therefore unreliable; at the same time, unless given defence contracts, how will they ever get experienced and rooted to provide us confidence. The conflict can be understood as shown in Fig 10.  By now, the reader would be capable of verbalising assumptions, check for validation and challenge to find injections or answers.
55.              Performance Based Logistics took roots in around 2001 when the US DoD declared PBL as a preferred approach and asked for the development and implementation of PBL strategies. These strategies were to include best use of public and private sector capabilities through partnership. The intention in PBL is to move away from functionality oriented support programmes to seeking operational readiness, reliability and maintainability. Here we buy an integrated performance package instead of contracting for spares, repair technology, data, tools and licenses.
56.              With the above explanation it would be clear that PBL is entirely different from outsourcing depot maintenance i.e. MRO. And although it involves the whole range of logistics activities, it is not the same as contracting out logistics despite the fact that PBL switches most of the supply chain’s risk and responsibility from customer to the supplier. The defining reality is that PBL requires committed and balanced contribution from both the parties. In our case, there have been a few half hearted attempts to contract PBL without having made the commitments and including only part responsibilities. Long term repair or maintenance agreements have been considered as PBL, while many a contract has been undertaken without adequate study on our part as we remained satisfied with foreign vendors passing on imported hearsay knowledge, usually advantageous to them.
57.              Logistics engineering and Performance Based Logistics are parts of graduate courses abroad. Along with late Air Cmde Jasjit Singh’s anguish over the lack of strategic education in national universities, this lack of logistics education also remains a surprise. Perhaps the reasons are lack of attention and importance to logistics  by professional organisations and also the fact that logistics by avoidance of a qualification is considered a non-engineering domain. Engineers on the other hand find it convenient to twist the term itself and call it ‘Performance Based Maintenance’.
58.              Like the outsourced MRO, PBL also would be essential for adoption by defence services, but, in a suitably small measure to begin with indigenous fleets. A start with indigenously developed systems and also those manufactured under foreign licenses by our PSUs would be best for developing concepts in the next few years. PSUs, which lay back without concern as services struggle, with indigenisation and substitution of difficult to procure foreign components, surely need to be tasked better and contracted for PBL. It is only natural that academic studies and research in most institutions can begin after a reasonable success and commercialisation of the PBL in industry. However, the development of concepts for defence can preferably be carried out with the help of think tanks like CLAWS (Centre for Land Warfare Studies), NMF (National Maritime Foundation) and CAPS (Centre for Air Power Studies). The design and development (specification) of performance requirements, performance metrics and the contractual framework would call for defence and industrial experience and acumen.
59.              In the two models discussed above, either the customer or the supplier carries all the ultimate responsibility. However, a third model of arrangement has been emerging to enable offsetting the disadvantages to the customer. This is a partnership, which would apply to all support arrangements, viz. totally in-house maintenance including depot overhaul, outsourced MRO, and PBL. I wish to call it the Customer Supplier Partnership (CSP) model. According to this model, the human resource is always put together by both, the customer and the supplier. With totally in-house facilities, a small (about 5 to 10 %) workforce can be contributed by the contractor to maintain currency on licensing, updates, modification etc. The composition is reversed in facilities completely owned by the supplier, where the customer contributes a small part of the work force (10 to 20 %) to cater for the negative effects of loss of expertise, loss of control, and to maintain surge capacity. It may be noted that the supplier need not necessarily be a private company. And therefore, the model is named CSP and not PPP (Public Private Partnership).
60.              It is no secret, and in fact a matter of regret that deputations from the services are not quite kindly taken by even DRDO and DPSUs. The loss has been immense, especially in the last three decades. I would even recommend mandatory deputations in the opposite direction into services, which have a tremendous potential for logistics innovations. The fact of the matter is that controlling a mix of human resource does not seem to be in our comfort zones. Therefore, with regard to CSP, I reckon that the most difficult aspect would be the specification of contract and consequent sincere honouring of commitments. Honouring the partnership with shared responsibilities will remain the most challenging and sensitive element of these contracts.
STANDARDISATION
61.              An Army officer moves out of his unit always with a movement order. A Naval officer is recognised outside his parent ship with the information provided on the Gen Form carried by him. And in contrast, the Air Force officer on temporary duties just moves and reports to the destination without even carrying authorising signals. Each one of the procedures has its own information closing in loops and cross check mechanisms. If one looks at the data requirements for an officer’s temporary move from a unit to another, these would be very similar for Army, Navy and Air Force personnel. But, each service is happy, and rather proud about its own distinct service procedures. A joint services unit has to however keep all the three provisions.
62.              This is not all. A simple spark plug of a motor vehicle commonly used by all three services is recognised by three different part numbers in the three respective inventory systems. Inventory codification schemes, data structures, forms and procedures for issue, receipt and transfer of items of inventory are entirely different for all three services. Tri services commands and units, which seem to be joint when viewed from outside are actually considerably disjointed in low level procedures despite honourable intentions. As discussed earlier, the dissimilarities have come up through the legacies adopted along with the genesis of each service.
63.              The scope of operations has expanded well into the joint regime. We won’t make effective use of resources if we only appear to be joint despite having Headquarters Integrated Defence Staff (HQ IDS) and also a few Joint Services Commands. Army, Navy and Air Force have a large number of common items of inventory. Most of these are held under different part numbers, names and descriptions, as the classification systems are quite different in the three services. The result is despite the commonality of parts no exchange or sharing of resources is possible in times of need during joint operations. And standardisation is not only useful for joint operations but also for mutual transfers of inventory items in need by one service when the other can share. Each service maintains reasonably good inventory database management systems, but these can’t be joined together because of lack of a common code. When a service is ready to dispose off inventories of a weapon system and the other service holds systems in use of similar origin, it is a fair guess that many sub components could possibly be made  use of instead of being sold as scrap. But, in absence of a common picture, technicians can only be tasked to carry out cumbersome physical inspections. The predicament is not limited to situations of need across two services – suppliers often deliver items common to two fleets within the same service without ensuring uniqueness of part numbers.
64.              Well, the standardisation in military is not something new. The need for military standards was realised during the World War II when the allied forces could not even share small items as bullets. In India also the Directorate of Standardisation (for military) was established as early as 1962. The Standardisation Committee, with SA to RM as its head was set up just a couple of years before that. The Directorate of Standardisation carries out the following functions:-
·         In case of common interest to more than one service, lay down standards for the following:-
§  Specifications for products, interfaces, and services.
§  Guidelines for procedures and practices.
·         Lay down codification scheme and implement a standard codification for defence inventories.
§  The robust and scientific NATO system of codification has been adopted.
§  Codification of inventories is given priority for those systems which are common to two or more services.
·         Recommend rationalisation of inventories through variety reduction.
·         Effect entry control during induction of systems/ components in services.
·         Guide in identification of alternative utilisation of inventories under disposal, and also verify plans for replacements.
65.              In over five decades, the Directorate of Standardisation has received significant acknowledgement at the national level. Efforts have been put in by its zestful staff. However, if one looks back with introspection, there has been little accomplishment, which could be marked as noteworthy or gainful for defence services. I would tend to agree that a large part of contribution towards this lack of achievement has also been from the services because the directorate has not been able to project itself as a part of them. The Directorate of Standardisation has been seen by the services as only  a necessary bureaucratic step in acquisition and disposal processes consuming its own given wasteful time. On its own part the Directorate of Standardisation has been satisfied in being a part of MoD, Department of Production and Supply, and not technically answerable to Service HQs. As a result, there has never been a review of its functional efficacy in five decades – org structure does determine behaviour.
66.              Standardisation affects the status of logistics preparedness in a major way. The subject is too vital to be neglected for any longer than the five decades of sluggish bureaucratic approach. The following few actions are recommended for immediate consideration:-
·         A functional review of Directorate of Standardisation by a joint services team.
·         Organisational restructuring to place Directorate of Standardisation within HQ Integrated Defence Staff (HQ IDS).
·         To ensure greater connect of Directorate of Standardisation with Services.
·         The services logistical requirements should drive the defence R&D and industry from the standardisation point of view.
IT ENABLEMENT FOR AN NTEGRATED APPROACH TO LOGISTICS
67.              Inventory management along with accounting functions was the first to get the benefit of IT (then better known as computer technology) in defence services. After the initial COBOL based programs the inventory database management systems (DBMS) continued to be developed in-house in all services. New systems replaced the older hardware/ software combinations almost at the rate of one every five or six years because of the fast change of computer systems. These DBMS packages called Management Information Systems (MIS) required huge effort in off-line data entry, which always lagged behind the work processes besides requiring specialist (according to the then standards) data-entry-operators. Consequently these MIS packages produced limited success for statistical analysis and were useful as intermediate steps in further progress of info technology.
68.              To most Indians the term IT appears to be synonymous with the Indian character. However, it would be surprising to realise that most dollar earning Indian IT business has been of sub-contracts for parts of application and not total systemic solutions. Justifiably, the services have not been quite keen to adopt and totally depend on foreign made systems like SAP. The leveraging of IT even with the help of industry for organisation wide ‘Enterprise Resource Planning’ logistical solutions have therefore fallen short of expectations. The other fact is that some of the extra ordinary in-house efforts in all the three services could not mature more on account of technological limitations of communication and networking than computing ability or resources. This would perhaps explain why networked inventory management systems came up sequentially in time for Navy (Integrated Logistics Management System) and Air Force (Integrated Material Management On Line System) before the Army, i.e. geographically smaller to larger scope.
69.              While the Air Force’s IMMOLS has all inventory transaction provisions including provisioning, and it also has online equipment accounting and audit facilities, all services need to go well beyond that. Operations on material are not only transactions through storage, distribution and disposal. Comprehensively tracking material through its usage, maintenance, upgrade, disposal and replacement would be essential enterprise wide. Accordingly, every process acting upon material will have to be taken into account.
70.              Network enablement with a view to facilitate Network Centric Warfare (NCW) has been in progress in all three services. Network enablement is not only connecting communication networks – it would amount to designing networks and processes in a way to provide for Network Centric Operations (NCO) with a collaborative concept. Forces operate with men and material. The two vital parts of the whole database are therefore operational data and formats and material data. The services are working towards establishment of their large network under the Network For Spectrum (NFS) project. In the meanwhile, it would be of paramount importance for all three services to individually and collectively devise data structures and formats for all material on inventory and processes that operate on material. Eventually all processes will need to talk to each other to enable entities on the network to seamlessly communicate  with each other. The design of interfaces and interface standards is also vital not only within the material domain but also across domains to and fro operational processes. All legacy software without Service Oriented Architecture (SOA) needs diligent effort to provide for interfacing layers to enable process to process communication. Comprehensive work in that area must begin while all new add-ons are made rigorously SOA compliant.
71.              The stability of IT specific human resource among military cadres remains uncertain. Therefore, partnership with industry is recommended for the development of not only software systems but also the standards.
72.              A truly integrated approach to logistics management will emerge when the logistics information will seem intrinsic to the operational processes. The war fighter will not require to ask for logistics information.
CONCLUSION
73.              Robust logistics groundwork translates into military capability. A measure of military capability is however elusive. If forces made money instead of an abstract thing as war potential, it would have been a simple matter to evaluate the accomplishments of a military outfit in terms of money made in relation to money put in. In absence of that, it is impossible to relate every Rupee put in with the generated potential. Conversely, every Rupee cut out (inappropriately termed as saved) from the expenditure  appears to increase efficiency as we consider output as fixed. Under such assumptions, a delayed process would always appear to cut cost and improve efficiency. I would recommend study and research on the subject of quantification and transformation of units of the output war potential as a measure of throughput generated by the armed forces. Only then can we measure effectiveness and worth of all logistics.
The World we have created is a process of our thinking. It cannot be changed unless we change our thinking
                                                                 - Albert Einstein
74.              Logistics is not about spare parts storage and distribution alone. It runs through all parts of military organisations and systems. Often looked at from a parts view, the supply/ stores departmental logic dominates. Our characteristic attempts for improvements in logistics by parts have not borne satisfactory results. A shift in thinking to get off the beaten track would be necessary. We have to identify maximum leverage points (core constraints) within each vital area discussed above for exploitation through systemic measures to remove clouds of conflict.
75.              In each discussed area of activity a combined study would be recommended to work out the action roadmap starting with the core constraints in each specific field. A few concluding points for consideration are summarised:-
·         Review logistics organisation structures within services.
·         Create a higher level logistics structure over and above service HQs.
·         Emphasise on life cycle management concepts. Mandate the development of a visualisation tool to enable cost per available system per day to become the determining factor in decision making.
·         Carry out a total review of stockage objectives and forecasting norms for provisioning. Reduce the acceptable delays to absolute minimum.
·         Move to a partnership model with all suppliers.
·         Outsource maintenance with care within a defined level. Develop outsourcing models with private enterprises.
·          PBL is initially recommended in cases of indigenous design/ development or license manufacturer by DPSUs. Mandate about three major PBL contracts by each arm in the next two years.
·         Mandate a review of the functioning of Directorate of Standardisation, and assess the requirement of restructuring.
·         Leverage IT for integrating logistics with operational processes.
·         Engage services associated think tanks for development of specifically mandated concepts. Standardisation, provisioning/ forecasting, PBL, partnership models, org structure  and throughput measurement (logistical war potential) are vital issues.
·         Encourage task orientation over rules to enable systemic measures determine decisions.

REFERENCES

1.            Fifth Discipline by Peter Senge, 1996, 2006; Random House Business Books.
2.            ‘Theory of Constraints’ by Goldratt EM (1999)- The North River Press.
3.            ‘The Goal’ by Goldratt EM and Cox J (1984) The North River Press; Reprint by Productivity & Quality Publishing.
4.            ‘Goal II –It's not Luck’ by Goldratt EM (1994) The North River Press; Reprint by Productivity & Quality Publishing.
5.            On line guide in implementing TOC 2008-2009 by Dr. Kelvyn Youngman.
6.            Deming and Goldratt by Domenico Lepore and Oded Cohen; Reprint (2010) by Productivity & Quality Publishing.
7.            Myth called MPE: A service paper by Wg Cdr Kaushik Das.





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